When it starts
Mt Bachelor, Jan 6–8, 2026: the model's run on the day said 6.0" skiable over 3 days, best Wednesday at 3.5" (Nice day); the Three Creeks Meadow SNOTEL pillow gained 5" of depth. Close.
Close. 6.0" skiable in the model, 5" on the pillow: inside 3" or 30%.
Pack going in: 5" on Jan 5, 7" on Jan 6. The storm total counts from the first reading, so snow after 5pm the night before is in it.
| Day | Call | First chair | On hill | Skiable | Starts | Pillow before | Pillow after | Gain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue Jan 6 | Stay home | 0.0" | 0.0" | 0.0" | — | 7" | 11" | +4" |
| Wed Jan 7 | Nice day | 2.4" | 1.1" | 3.5" | ~11pm Tuesday | 11" | 12" | +1" |
| Thu Jan 8 | Nice day | 2.0" | 0.6" | 2.5" | ~7pm Wednesday | 12" | 10" | -2" |
Model: the run on the day (Open-Meteo Previous Runs, best_match). PowHound does not keep superseded live forecasts, so this is not the number you saw the night before. It is usually closer.
Clocks, local time: first chair 5pm–8am, on hill 8am–5pm, skiable is both. Stay home under 2", Nice day 2–8", Full Send 8" or more.
Pillow: snow depth at the Three Creeks Meadow SNOTEL station, read once a day around midnight. A day's gain is the next midnight reading minus that day's, so it runs midnight to midnight, not 5pm to 5pm. Depth is not snowfall: new snow settles and blows around, so the pillow usually reads under what fell. Not the resort report.
Verdict: close is within 3" or 30%. Season numbers and method: llms.txt.