When it starts
Mt Bachelor, Oct 26–27, 2026: the model's run on the day said 4.7" skiable over 2 days, best Monday at 2.4" (Nice day); the Three Creeks Meadow SNOTEL pillow stayed flat on the days it reported. Close.
The pillow missed a reading, so this compares only the days it reported. Close. 2.4" skiable in the model, 0" on the pillow: inside 3" or 30%.
Pack going in: 0" on Oct 25, 0" on Oct 26. The storm total counts from the first reading, so snow after 5pm the night before is in it.
| Day | Call | First chair | On hill | Skiable | Starts | Pillow before | Pillow after | Gain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Oct 26 | Nice day | 2.2" | 0.2" | 2.4" | ~12am | 0" | 0" | 0" |
| Tue Oct 27 | Nice day | 0.2" | 2.1" | 2.3" | ~12am | 0" | — | — |
Model: the run on the day (Open-Meteo Previous Runs, best_match). PowHound does not keep superseded live forecasts, so this is not the number you saw the night before. It is usually closer.
Clocks, local time: first chair 5pm–8am, on hill 8am–5pm, skiable is both. Stay home under 2", Nice day 2–8", Full Send 8" or more.
Pillow: snow depth at the Three Creeks Meadow SNOTEL station, read once a day around midnight. A day's gain is the next midnight reading minus that day's, so it runs midnight to midnight, not 5pm to 5pm. Depth is not snowfall: new snow settles and blows around, so the pillow usually reads under what fell. Not the resort report.
Verdict: close is within 3" or 30%. Season numbers and method: llms.txt.